2006 Atlantic Hurricane Season - ERNESTO

[Enrique]

That's right, it's hurricane season again. Today, June 1st, marks the beginning of another season of tropical activity. The Eastern Pacific hurricane season has already started - May 15 was its official first day - however, those storms don't typically have a major effect on land; maybe one or two a year hits Mexico; rarely do they effect the United States. We will be monitoring the Atlantic hurricanes, which are of most interest of most of the people attending this forum.

Again, we are expecting a hyperactive season; although, we do not expect it to be as bad as last year's record-breaking 28 tropical storms, 15 hurricanes, and 7 major hurricanes.

Be sure to stay tuned in this thread to get major updates on the hurricane season. If you're like me and want to know practically every minor detail of the storms, the National Hurricane Center's website will be the most helpful.

DO NOT USE ANY INFORMATION IN THIS THREAD TO MAKE LIFE OR DEATH DECISIONS.

Names for this year as follows: Alberto, Beryl, Chris, Debby, Ernesto, Florence, Gordon, Helene, Isaac, Joyce, Kirk, Leslie, Michael, Nadeen, Oscar, Patty, Rafael, Sandy, Tony, Valerie, and William. In case of exhaustion of the list, like last year, the Greek Alphabet will be used.

[contention]

Hm, very interesting to put up for the boards there Enrique. Nice Job, and this will likely serve its purpose in the months to follow of late. It seems forever since the last one did hit, and the consequences that it brought forth. Those on the coast have a lot to look out for, or any states near the border line for that message as well. It's strange how they swoop in then move on, but they are always kept a busy eye on by the weather services. It makes one wonder what will come in the year that is flowing foward. Hopefully this season will not turn into what one may utilize in calling a quick mess. With the things that have already set foot, it seems that there will likely be more cautions sent out and warnings when things get close to arrival. Or at least, you'd hope so after what has taken place on our own soils. You're likely correct about the Alantic Ocean remark, the majority of the members either live in New York down to Florida. Of course, there is also a smaller majority that thrives on the Westren Coast. But, if something starts to move, it will likely be put in the spotlight.

You would all know the horrors of Hurricanes better than any midlanders could ever suppose. It has to be harsh at times to wonder what may be coming your way for these following months. With all the abrupt changes in weather patterns things could either go two ways. Yet, that could be said on any account. It just seems that with these cultivations they could increase or downsize in their volume and speed. Yet, you'd likely understand that better with your ideas of what may be coming. It seems strange enough that most of this Spring/Summer season has gone by awfully quick. It's one of those years in which you hear the words, "It's never been like this before" going around a lot more often than usual. Who can tell what may come, yet the odds of something happening are very high. One wonders what measures many on the coast take for the long run. Of course evacuation, but if fears do run through them at these times. With all that has taken place, it only seems natural that many along the lines would start to grow those tremors with a passion.

Weather at times can be unpredictable, like that of some sort of experiment. You can't tell all it's patterns fully, but you can make marking predictions to see what may sprout. You know, you might come to be the weatherman of this place. You made a statement about last season, and how you don't feel it will be the same this time around. Hopefully you're right about that, for in there mere past there were eruptions that just seemed highly unnatural. Something moving that was unseen by all eyes, but likely there in another form or presence. Another thing you gave insight to was the names of those that came in the past. It's interesting how they have chosen to name the storms that appear. It might be their only way of keeping them singled, but getting pounded by something named Debby can just make one giggle. But the best of luck to anyone on the coast, your thread here will definetly keep them in track as well provide updates for movements.

[Cayoshi]

I thank you for putting these boards up. Living in Florida is an incredible burden when it comes to this season. Not all of these hurricanes shall hit us, correct? Rain rarely ever occurs here, so it's a bit frightening in all honesty to recieve even a little storm. We have possibly the worst weather predicting channels and programs created down here.

On a side note, the Mayan people said the world would explode on December 23rd, 2012. They've only ever been wrong by 33 seconds on any prediction. It's highly unlikely though.

[Enrique]

We have our first Atlantic tropical depression.

According to the lastest advisory, June 10 at 5 PM EDT (which was the third offical avisory), Tropical Depression (TD) One is located at approximately 21.8 North latitude, 85.7 West longitude, about in between the Yucatan Peninsula and Cuba. It currently has wind measure speeds at about 35 MPH with barometric pressure at 1004 mb.

It does not look to be a very strong storm; only a maximum of about 50 MPH winds - tropical storm strength, and, thus, given a name (Alberto) - is expected from the storm in its entirety. Within the next three days, though, there could be some heavy rainfall in Florida; in fact, the is already some rain associated with the storm already impacting the southern part of Florida.

Thus, the Atlantic hurricane season has meteorologically started.

Update: 11/1500Z - TD One has been upgraded to TS Alberto.

[Graedius]

Where I live has been claimed the most environmentally stable with one of the least possible chances for a large-scale natural disaster of any variety ever happening.

I rather approve of that. >.> <.<

[jukku]

My area is filled with tornadoes.

jukku said:

My area is filled with tornadoes.

As is mine. Not too long ago, a tornado hit very close to my house, and I'd never seen anything like it in real life. All of the trees on a hillside were ripped in half, and it looked like a warzone or something.

So while I am not directly affected by hurricanes, they do sometimes spawn tornados in my area.

[Yoshiken]

My area is full of heat, and cactus, and more heat XD. The only problems I possibly have are famines and droughts ^^.

[Masakuni]

Georgia, even though it's right next to Florida, surprisingly almost never gets hit by hurricanes...though we do get a few tornadoes sometimes

[Enrique]

I don't usually get hurricanes here; however, quite frequently I do get the remnants of them. That only brings rain most of the time. In case you're wondering why I do this since I don't live in a generally hurricane-prone area, I'm a weather freak, and I just like tracking hurricanes. I have never lived through a tornado. The only thing about Upstate New York is that it can be 90 one day, then 60 the next.

Update on Alberto: Despite the fact that Alberto is extremely disorganized, it is strengthening and is heading toward Florida. Expect heavy rainfall.

Update at 12/2100Z: Alberto strengthened rapidly this afternoon, not at hurricane strength, but pretty darn close to it. Right now the storm is accounting for some heavy rainfall in Florida. The storm looks to become extratropical in a few days.

Update at 13/1630Z: Alberto made landfall on Florida, and is raply weakening.

Update at 14/0900Z: Alberto has beeen dowgraded to a tropical depression.

Update at 14/1500Z: Alberto has been losing tropical characteristics, and thus is becoming extratropical. The NHC will no longer carry out public advisories for this storm.

[Enrique]

Pardon me for both bumping and double posting but we have a new development popping up in the tropical Atlantic.

About 350 miles or so off the coast of Charleston, South Carolina is Tropical Depression Two. The National Hurricane Center has this storm to be updated to a tropical storm in a good six to twelve hours. It is moving north at about five miles per hour; however, if climatology proves correct for this storm, it shouldn't make landfall in the U.S. as it would instead drift toward the east away from the Eastern Coast. The NHC is also predicting that the storm would become extratropical in about a week, without ever reaching hurricane status. Only the British people of this forum may be affected by this storm, and even then, all they'll recieve are the remnants of the storm.

If ever this tropical depression does upgrade to a tropical storm (which the NHC predicts so), it will be named Beryl.

[plebenshiren]

(0-0) holy cow! and i thought the weather in england WAS BAD!!
i always moan about how much it rains and the most exciting thing that happens here is a thunder storm with a few lightning bolts! but from what you lot are talking about, it makes my weather problems seem like a sunny trip to the beach!!
i don't know why but i've always wanted to be in the middle of a hurricane, just to feel what it's like, i dunno something wierd like that ^^,
we don't get tornados down here (phew)
but although, from what you lot of said it doesn't sound too bad.
but, it seems the majority of you in this forum are definetly in that area!
so all i can say is good luck! and please be careful out there ^^,

[Enrique]

Update at 18/2045Z: TD Two has been upgraded to Tropical Storm Beryl.

Also, it seems as if Beryl is turning out to be a bit anomalistic to tropical cyclone climatology, as it seems to be moving in a north to north-northwest fashion rather than a northeasternly fashion as one would normally expect. This means that it is possible that the storm may make landfall near Virginia or somewhere in that vicinity, bringing rainfall to the Eastern U.S. Coast. It may or may not actually make landfall; it is possible that the storm could drift northeastward at any point. Most likely, however, it will not reach hurricane strength. It is good to be prepared for some rainfall in the not-too-distant future, in any case.

Update at 20/1200: I wish Beryl would make up its mind as to which way it's going; sometimes it seems as if it's going north-northwest, others, north-northeast. In any case, it's going north, and there's a chance that it could hit Long Island and/or New England. It has been stalling in terms of intensity, however, so if these areas do experience winds, there shouldn't be much maximum sustained winds over 60 miles per hour. Probably by the time it does hit those areas (if it does in the first place), the storm should be weaker. In any rate, once this storm becomes extratropical, Brits should be prepared to eventually gets the remains of this storm.

Update at 21/0900: Beryl is rapidly accelerating toward the northeast, and may hit the Maine/New Brunswick/Nova Scotia/Newfoundland general area before it's all said and done. Within the next couple of days, Beryl will be extratropical and will be absorbed in a frontal system.

[Lord of the Dance]

If we get any more hurricanes like last year, should the Mods sticky this? I mean, it ended up being pretty useful during last year's hurricane season, haha.

[Enrique]

yosheechamp said:

If we get any more hurricanes like last year, should the Mods sticky this? I mean, it ended up being pretty useful during last year's hurricane season, haha.

1.) I don't think we're going to have much more maybe even a half of the tropical systems we had last year.
2.) Despite this, it should be stickied my at least mid-August because, historically, the most active time for hurricanes is early September. However, that is the moderators' choice.

[Yoshifrog]

Mwahaha, Maine is normally safe from those nasty hurricanes ^^
But just last week, or maybe the week before we got a huge storm at our lakehouse with hail the size of marbles, and some the size of icecubes >_0 They're in our freezer right now ^^
Dad made us go in the most enclosed and un-windowy part of the house thinking that with hail that size there would be a tornado XD Turns out the storm was only bad for about 15 minutes and soon died down.

That's my story, and that's just about the worst storm I've ever encountered here.

[Enrique]

This morning, I woke up to the tune of ten new emails from the NHC's automatic advisory emailing system, so that must mean that we have a major update in the tropics. And indeed we do.

Tropical Storm Chris formed and intensified early this morning, and for now is east of the Leeward Islands, about 135 miles east of Antigua. While it is a bit away from the continental U.S., it is possible that this storm could directly affect the U.S. It is also possible that the storm may miss the U.S. and drift northeastward (this wouldn't be for days, though) after it's gone through the Caribbean Sea.

[Rackinac]

The worst thing in Connecticut is a lightning storm... T_T No really.

[Lich Yoshi von Kippo]

On the flip side of the coin, we're having the worst drought in over a century. We could do with a cyclone. x.x;

[Johnyoshi]

enrique said:

This morning, I woke up to the tune of ten new emails from the NHC's automatic advisory emailing system, so that must mean that we have a major update in the tropics. And indeed we do.

Tropical Storm Chris formed and intensified early this morning, and for now is east of the Leeward Islands, about 135 miles east of Antigua. While it is a bit away from the continental U.S., it is possible that this storm could directly affect the U.S. It is also possible that the storm may miss the U.S. and drift northeastward (this wouldn't be for days, though) after it's gone through the Caribbean Sea.

Here is the Project Path as of right now(if anyone wants it):